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Questions & answers
49 answers about reading the stats, how our projections work, how accurate they are, and how the site works. Search below or jump to a section.
01
Getting started
02
Reading the numbers
03
Projections
04
Accuracy & our track record
05
Data & updates
06
Free use & limits
07
Privacy & cookies
08
About iKnowHoop
Every term, A–Z
Glossary
- 3-point %
- Share of three-point shots that went in.
- Above usual
- How much better (or worse) a player has been in recent games compared with their season average.
- Assists
- Passes that led straight to a teammate scoring.
- Average miss
- On average, how far our projections were from the real result. Lower is better.
- Averages & splits
- The same stats averaged over different stretches, so you can see if a player is playing above or below their usual level.
- Blocks
- Opponent shots the player blocked.
- Box score
- The full stat sheet for a game: every player's numbers plus team totals.
- Chance to reach
- Our estimated chance the player gets at least this number tonight.
- Defense rating
- Points allowed per 100 possessions. Lower means a better defense.
- Did not play
- The player was available or listed but didn't get on the court.
- Expected winning margin
- How many points we expect the stronger team to win by. "LAL by 4" means we expect the Lakers to win by about 4 points.
- Field goal %
- Share of shots that went in (not counting free throws).
- Field goals
- Shots made out of shots taken (all shots except free throws), e.g. 8-15.
- Former
- Played for this team this season but is no longer on the roster.
- Fouls
- Personal fouls committed. Six and a player is out of the game.
- Free throw %
- Share of free throws that went in.
- Free throws
- Free throws made out of attempted, e.g. 4-5.
- Game of the night
- The game we think is closest — where neither team is a clear favourite.
- Games
- How many games the number is based on. Fewer games = less reliable.
- Games played
- Games the player actually got on the court.
- Hit rate
- How often the player actually reached this number in past games. 7/10 = did it in 7 of the last 10.
- Home / Away
- Record in the team's own arena vs on the road.
- Last 10
- Averages over the 10 most recent games.
- Last 20
- Averages over the 20 most recent games.
- Last 5
- Averages over the player's or team's 5 most recent games — shows current form.
- Lately
- Average over the most recent games.
- Leans
- Whether our projections have tended to come in too high or too low on average.
- Likely range
- Where the number lands in most games. Results outside this range happen, just less often.
- Margin
- How many points the team won (+) or lost (−) by.
- Minimum minutes
- Only count games where the player played at least this many minutes — e.g. to skip early exits from injury or blowouts. Starters almost always play 20+, so small numbers usually change nothing.
- Minutes
- Minutes on the court. A full game is 48 minutes.
- Net rating
- Points scored minus points allowed for every 100 possessions. It evens out fast- and slow-paced teams. Higher is better.
- No stats
- We have no stats for this player in this game — usually because they weren't on the team that night. Not counted in our accuracy.
- Offense rating
- Points scored per 100 possessions. Higher means a better offense.
- Offensive rebounds
- Rebounds grabbed after a teammate missed — they give the team another chance to score.
- On target
- The result landed inside our typical swing around the projection — a good call.
- Opponent
- Only count games against this team.
- Pace
- How many possessions a game the team plays — higher means a faster, more up-and-down style.
- Players to watch
- The players we expect to score the most in this game.
- Plus / minus
- How many points the team won or lost by while this player was on the court. +5 means the team outscored the opponent by 5 with them playing.
- Point difference
- Points scored minus points allowed, per game. Positive means the team usually outscores opponents.
- Points
- Points scored in the game.
- Points allowed
- Average points the team gives up per game. Lower is better.
- Points scored
- Average points the team scores per game.
- Projection
- Our model's best guess for the number, based on recent form, minutes and matchup. It's an estimate, not a promise.
- Projection vs result
- What we projected before the game, next to what actually happened.
- Pts + Reb + Ast
- Points, rebounds and assists added together — a quick measure of a player's all-round output.
- Rebounds
- Missed shots the player grabbed, on offense or defense.
- Record
- Wins and losses this regular season.
- Season average
- Average per game across every game played this season.
- Season high
- The best single-game number this season.
- Slate
- The list of games being played on a given day.
- Starters
- The first five players listed started the game; the rest came off the bench.
- Steals
- Times the player took the ball from the other team.
- Streak
- Current run of wins (W) or losses (L) in a row. W3 = won the last 3.
- Three-pointers
- Three-point shots made out of attempted, e.g. 3-7.
- Threes made
- Three-point shots made.
- Total
- Combined points we expect both teams to score.
- Turnovers
- Times the player lost the ball to the other team. Lower is better.
- Typical swing
- How far the result usually moves from the projection, up or down. Bigger swing = less predictable.
- Updated
- When these numbers were last refreshed.
- Usual
- Season average — what's normal for this player or team.
- Waiting
- The game hasn't finished yet, so this projection can't be checked.
- What we considered
- Things that nudged this projection up or down, like playing at home or away.
- Win %
- Share of games won. .600 means 6 wins out of every 10.
- Win chance
- Our estimated chance each team wins the game.
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